The Conservatives are in permanent decline, unable to arrest their slide in the polls. They haven’t managed to poll beyond third place since April, and defections to Reform UK are now dangerously frequent. Danny Kruger became the first shadow cabinet minister to jump ship last week. Few think Kemi Badenoch will still be in place … Read more
Labour have been in power for 100 days. The reason why we fixate on the first 100 days is because of Napoleon; 100 days was how long it took for him to escape from Elba, return to France, seize the country, become Emperor (again), invade Belgium and lose the battle of Waterloo. Having come to … Read more
JD Vance is the latest in a series of awful Republican VP picks. Dan Quayle who couldn’t spell potato, Sarah Palin who thought she could see Russia from her bedroom window. Vance looks just as daft as them, if not more so. He’s not even called JD Vance, he is Jonathan David Hamel, if you … Read more
Like most people I watched the events unfolding last night with horror and shock. This is a massive moment for Trump supporters, particularly the MAGA/QAnon crowd; this is the moment that verifies every deep state conspiracy theory. There is no hint of shock or sadness from hardcore Trump fans on-line. They greeted the news of … Read more
With a couple of days to digest we can start and see some trends emerging from the rubble of the Conservative Party Labour were expected to win a landslide with 40%+ of the vote. In the end they won a landslide with a much lower vote share, with other parties also doing incredibly well. … Read more
Are ordinary Brits disadvantaged in the labour market because of immigration? I realise that most of my liberal graduate friends will automatically reject such an idea, in particular because there is an unstated assumption in the question that the ordinary Brits being hard done by are white, and the immigrants being given preferential treatment aren’t. … Read more
Closer than people think, but not really that close at all. I have changed my mind, and I think Reform and Green might win a seat. The Greens possibly more than one; Bristol Central is 50/50 but Waveney Valley and North Herts look like they might be closer to a Green victory than people suspect, … Read more
There seems little point in reviewing all of the manifestos as most people by now have made up their minds. Instead I want to address a question I heard a few times. “Labour and Tory are they both the same”? Instinctively the answer is no.. Politics has become incredibly polarised and the gap between Labour … Read more
