Reform, Labour, Hysteria and the Politics of Permanent Dissatisfaction

Clearly this was a big night for Reform, a bad night for Labour, and a mixed night for everyone else. Labour lost seats to the Greens, to a lesser extent Reform, and to Plaid Cymru and the SNP. The Conservatives lost seats heavily to Reform. But for the Government to lose seats at this point … Read more

BT and failed privatised monopolies

I have finally given up on BT. Not just personally, but professionally as well. My business is moving away from them, and after the last few weeks I genuinely cannot understand why anybody voluntarily stays with them unless inertia, exhaustion or fear of changing provider finally overwhelms the instinct for self-preservation. The final straw was … Read more

Small Boat Crossings Are Falling — So Why Doesn’t it Feel Like It?

Small boat crossings are falling. They are down around 40% in April 2026 compared to the same month last year, and down roughly 38% so far this year. That makes nearly nine months of sustained decline. More strikingly, the pace of that decline is increasing — from around 30% in the latter part of 2025, … Read more

Starmer, Mandelson and the People Who Really Run Things

Starmer has survived a key vote in the House over the Mandelson affair. This isn’t a shock. Contrary to the popular press and the internet, he was never likely to lose. I don’t normally comment on people or events. Normally I stick to rather policies, but this affair does reveal some important things about how … Read more

Kent: Reform in Power

Kent is one of Reform’s flagship councils. With the local elections coming up I wanted to talk about areas where Refrom control the local authority and their track record. Kent County Council governs one of the largest populations of any local authority in England. It sits at the top of a two-tier system — county, … Read more

Redcar: Industry, Absence and What Comes Next

It’s ten years since the Brexit vote, and over the last few weeks I’ve been visiting towns along the East Coast. Some — Clacton, Great Yarmouth, Skegness — have already elected Reform MPs. Others are targets in the next round of local elections. I worked in Redcar and Cleveland for a decade, in the NHS, … Read more

Hartlepool: Identity, Industry and Staying Put

There are two very different ways of looking at Hartlepool. The first is the lurid headline version — the kind of thing you might find in the Sun, focusing on obesity, ill health, decline. The second is less obvious: Northern Studios, the largest film and television production facility in the North East, part of the … Read more

Family Voting: Denton and Gorton By-election

After the Gorton by-election, a number of stories circulated about so-called “family voting” — Muslim families voting together, with the husband supposedly directing how others should vote. This narrative was quickly seized on as an explanation for Reform’s failure to win the seat and for the collapse of the Conservative vote. The Conservatives, in particular, … Read more

The End of American Military Power

The myth of British military power ended at Suez. The myth of American military power may be ending at the Strait of Hormuz. Trump’s war against Iran has no clearly defined strategic objectives, no endgame, and no obvious way of judging success or failure. It is, above all, an exercise in image-building: projecting American strength, … Read more