This feels like an odd story to write. Some of my friends are big fans of Reform, and don’t understand why there is so much fuss about them. Other friends regard Reform with horror, the modern equivalent of Oswald Moseley’s British Union of Fascists. No other political party is so polarising. Like it or … Read more
With a couple of days to digest we can start and see some trends emerging from the rubble of the Conservative Party Labour were expected to win a landslide with 40%+ of the vote. In the end they won a landslide with a much lower vote share, with other parties also doing incredibly well. … Read more
Are ordinary Brits disadvantaged in the labour market because of immigration? I realise that most of my liberal graduate friends will automatically reject such an idea, in particular because there is an unstated assumption in the question that the ordinary Brits being hard done by are white, and the immigrants being given preferential treatment aren’t. … Read more
Closer than people think, but not really that close at all. I have changed my mind, and I think Reform and Green might win a seat. The Greens possibly more than one; Bristol Central is 50/50 but Waveney Valley and North Herts look like they might be closer to a Green victory than people suspect, … Read more
There seems little point in reviewing all of the manifestos as most people by now have made up their minds. Instead I want to address a question I heard a few times. “Labour and Tory are they both the same”? Instinctively the answer is no.. Politics has become incredibly polarised and the gap between Labour … Read more
No. Labour aren’t going to privatise the NHS. I have seen multiple claims on social media that Labour will expand privatisation of the NHS if elected. Mostly these claims come from the Green Party, or from the anti-Labour left. The leader of the Greens made the same claim in the debate last night. This makes … Read more
Rishi Sunak called a snap General Election to try and catch Labour on the wrong foot. All he managed to do was wrong foot his own party, leaving them totally unprepared for a campaign which Labour were well up for. By any standards this has been a terrible start to a campaign. Sunak was caught … Read more
A small wet man has called a General Election, and lots of people are looking forward to multiple Portillo moments. For those too young to remember the 1997 General Election Michael Portillo was an unpopular cabinet minister who lost his seat to a young Labour candidate. It came to symbolise the crushing defeat the Tories … Read more
Conservatives are in deep trouble. The British Conservatives were wiped out in the latest local elections, and face a similar fate in at the coming General Election. In the US the entire conservative movement is a hostage to the fortunes of Donald Trump, slumped in a court room hearing his most sordid actions read … Read more
